Thought these were kind of interesting, published before this attack.
World War 3 - News and Reports - #126 by be1
Crimea is Russian territory now. Russia has previously stated that if U.S. long range weapons are used against “Russian territory” then Russia will declare the US an active combatant, and will take military action.
The US says that Crimea is “Ukrainian territory” and so the Ukrainians can use HIMARS against it.
Over the weekend, former President of Russia, Dmitry Medvedev publicly spoke about possible Ukrainian attacks on Crimea, and said: “If something like this happens, Judgment Day will happen to all of them”
Overnight, the Russian Navy began moving several ships OUT of Crimea to their port at Novorossiysk. The Russian Black Sea fleet pulled anchor and left Sevastopol, for the Kuban. Clearly they suspect a missile attack on the port facilities.
NORD STREAM EXPLOSIONS - #47 by be1
"I will add that the US-built Maritime Operations Centre in Ochakov makes it possible to support activity by NATO warships, including the use of precision weapons, against the Russian Black Sea Fleet and our infrastructure on the entire Black Sea Coast." President of Russia Vladimir Putin, Feb 2022 Speech.