Spanish Polls are predicting a PP win at next Sunday’s general election, although the conservatives will fail to gain an absolute majority. Vox looks certain to play role of Kingmaker.
The Partido Popular is expected to win 145 Parliamentary seats - well short of the working majority of 176 out of 350 seats.
As widely anticipated, Leader Alberto Feijoo may seek a coalition deal with Vox which secured 34 seats in the poll. Despite the numbers adding up, the far-right Vox looks set to be worse off than in the last Spanish general election, when it secured 52 seats.
As for Pedro Sanchez, who unexpectedly called the snap election after performing badly in May’s regional elections, the numbers simply don't add up.
The PSOE only managed 108 seats in the polls and its natural partner, Sumar 32. Even if the socialists gained the support of all the remaining parties, it would still fall short of a majority.
The latest figures come after 54% of voters thought the PP leader won last week’s televised debate against the Prime Minister.
The snap election was mooted as an attempt to show voters what a right-wing PP-Vox partnership could look like - it's a gamble that might now backfire for Pedro Sanchez.
But as politicians are fond of saying, the only poll that matters is the one on the day.
We will have to wait until Sunday the 23rd July to find out.