Russia could be winner in WWIII ‘nightmare scenario’ by capturing northern Europe & blocking NATO counterattack – Swedish experts

Russia could be winner in WWIII ‘nightmare scenario’ by capturing northern Europe & blocking NATO counterattack – Swedish experts

12 Mar, 2021 10:48

An all-out war in northern Europe could see Russian troops cut off the Baltic nations, delaying NATO forces from coming to their aid and securing a hold on the region, a new analysis by Sweden’s Defense Research Agency claims.

In the report, researchers carried out a simulated wargame to determine the balance of power in central and northern Europe in a so-called – albeit unlikely – ‘nightmare scenario’ that saw Russia attack Lithuania through neighboring Belarus. The hypothetical campaign assumed the entire US-led alliance would be dragged into a direct conflict of the kind that hasn't been seen on the continent since the end of the Second World War, but the use of nuclear weapons was excluded.

“On paper, the correlation of forces gives Russia good prospects for success,” the report says, “if the conflict can be kept short and the outcome decided early.” A surprise attack that allowed Moscow’s armies to settle scores in the Baltic and link up with troops stationed in the Kaliningrad exclave would be essential, it continues, before American, British, and French long-range airstrikes could begin in earnest.

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